All posts by Trevor Larkum

Climate Change Impact in Africa (Image: iPhoto)

If You’re Younger Than 31, You’ve Never Experienced This

Life was cooler in 1985.

Climate Change Impact in Africa (Image: iPhoto)
Climate Change Impact in Africa (Image: iPhoto)

Still not convinced the Earth is rapidly warming? Consider this: The last time the global monthly temperature was below average was February 1985.

That means if you are 30 years old or younger, there has not been a single month in your entire life that was colder than average.

“It’s a completely different world we’re already living in,”

Mark Eakin, coordinator of NOAA’s Coral Reef Watch, told scientists gathered this week for the International Coral Reef Symposium in Honolulu. He added it likely won’t be long before that same age bracket has experienced only above-average temperatures.

“It’s happening that fast,” Eakin said.

Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Penn State University, told The Huffington Post that as long as humans continue to warm the planet by burning fossil fuels, there is, in a sense, no “normal” or “average.”

“What is considered unusually warm today will be considered average in the future,” Mann said in an email. “And for what we call ‘warm’ in the future, there is currently no analog.”

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recently announced May 2016 as the 13th consecutive warmest month on record — the longest streak since global temperature records began in 1880.

“The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for May 2016 was the highest for May in the 137-year period of record, at 0.87°C (1.57°F) above the 20th century average of 14.8°C (58.6°F), besting the previous record set in 2015 by 0.02°C (0.04°F),” NOAA said.

NASA data shows global temperatures in May were 1.67 degrees Fahrenheit above the 1951-1980 average.

Read more: Huffington Post

Peak Oil Could be in 15-20 Years (Image: Bernstein Research)

Big Oil Is Terminal

“Peak oil demand” is the new “peak oil supply” because of climate change and plummeting costs for electric car batteries.

It’s increasingly clear that we’re not going to move off of oil because we run out of supply. Rather, we’re going to move off of oil because it is both the economic and moral thing to do.

The research firm Bernstein notes that two “existential threats to the oil industry” exist — “climate change” and “advances in battery technology and computing power, which have resulted in a surge in interest in electric vehicles and autonomous driving.” They project the peak in oil demand could come as soon as 2030–2035:

Peak Oil Could be in 15-20 Years (Image: Bernstein Research)
Peak Oil Could be in 15-20 Years (Image: Bernstein Research)

Read more: Think Progress

Carmaker announces plans to turn BMW i3 batteries into home energy storage kits (Image: BMW)

BMW follows Nissan into home energy storage market

Carmaker announces plans to turn BMW i3 batteries into home energy storage kits

Carmaker announces plans to turn BMW i3 batteries into home energy storage kits (Image: BMW)
Carmaker announces plans to turn BMW i3 batteries into home energy storage kits (Image: BMW)

The world of electric vehicles and energy storage are becoming increasingly intertwined, after German carmaker BMW last week became the second major carmaker in as many months to announce plans to enter the home energy storage market.

BMW told delegates at the Electric Vehicle Symposium & Exhibition 29 conference in Montreal last week it will use the high voltage batteries deployed in its i3 range of electric vehicles to create a new residential storage product in collaboration with German firm Beck Automation.

The BMW system will use new and second hand batteries from EVs, and will be available in a 22kWh or 33kWh sizes – powerful enough to keep the average home operating for 24 hours with no external generation.

In a statement BMW said the new storage system will allow BMW i customers to “more fully realise their commitment to sustainability” and take a step closer to energy independence. Customers will be able to store clean energy generated by rooftop solar panels, and protect their home against power outages from the grid, BMW said.

“The remarkable advantage for BMW customers in using BMW i3 batteries as a plug and play storage application is the ability to tap into an alternative resource for residential and commercial backup power, thus using renewable energy much more efficiently, and enabling additional revenues from the energy market,”

said Cliff Fietzek, manager for connected eMobility at BMW North America.

Read more: Business Green

Slow Charging the ZOE at Highgate (Image: T. Larkum)

Electric cars: the benefits in London

EVs already have numerous advantages in the city, but fresh parking and charging options are making them irresistible

Slow Charging the ZOE at Highgate (Image: T. Larkum)
Charging a Renault ZOE in London (Image: T. Larkum)

Clean, quiet, powerful electric cars make perfect sense everywhere; in the countryside, for family trips and for commuting. But it is in towns and cities with their zero emission credentials that electric cars really triumph.

Nowhere is this more evident than in London. In January it officially became a ‘Go Ultra Low City’ after winning a government competition and £13m to prioritise electric vehicles (EV) across the capital.

The aim of the scheme – also spearheaded by Bristol, Nottingham and Milton Keynes – is to boost the take-up of plug-in electric cars both in the capital and across the country.

London is already favourable to electric cars, which are exempt from the £11.50-a-day congestion charge and can park for free in many boroughs. The new Go Ultra Low City work will deliver a range of measures to encourage take up of EVs, including:

• a single residential chargepoint offer to London EV owners that don’t have off-street parking

• new commercial rapid chargepoint infrastructure to provide speedy charging for businesses and fleet vehicles

• support for London’s expanding car club networks; and

• new ‘Neighbourhoods of the Future’ which will trial new innovative ways of promoting EVs at the local level

Read more: Standard

The mayor of London announced his proposals at Great Ormond Street Hospital where he visited children who are being treated for respiratory problems exacerbated by poor air quality (Image: S. Rousseau/PA)

Diesel car drivers hit with new ‘toxic’ fee

Drivers of diesel cars face the world’s toughest air pollution penalties under plans for London that could be extended to other cities.

The mayor of London announced his proposals at Great Ormond Street Hospital where he visited children who are being treated for respiratory problems exacerbated by poor air quality (Image: S. Rousseau/PA)
The mayor of London announced his proposals at Great Ormond Street Hospital where he visited children who are being treated for respiratory problems exacerbated by poor air quality (Image: S. Rousseau/PA)

A £10 daily “toxicity charge” will be imposed next year on petrol and diesel cars and vans made before 2005 entering central London. This will be added to the £11.50 congestion charge, Sadiq Khan, the mayor of London, said.

By the end of the decade the fee will be extended to pre-2015 diesel cars and the charging zone will become ten times bigger, affecting 210,000 drivers a day, according to projections by the mayor’s office.

Mr Khan said that he was planning the

“toughest emission standards of any major city in the world”

to help reduce the 9,500 premature deaths a year that are linked to air pollution in the capital.

The government pledged last year to penalise older taxis, buses and lorries in new “clean-air zones” in Birmingham, Leeds, Southampton, Nottingham and Derby. At the time ministers said that cars would be exempt from restrictions, but the environment group Client-Earth is bringing a High Court challenge calling for the government to take tougher action.

Under Mr Khan’s plans the ultra-low emission zone will be expanded from central London to the North and South Circular roads. The charge will be in place at all times. Thousands more roadside cameras will be installed to catch and fine drivers who fail to pay.

The scheme will penalise thousands of drivers who bought a diesel car believing that it produced fewer emissions. Mr Khan said that older diesel cars produced up to 20 times as much air pollution per mile as petrol cars. The mayor urged the government to work with him to launch a national scrappage scheme under which a driver trading in a highly polluting vehicle could receive a discount on a cleaner car.

Read more: The Times

Tesla showroom in Milton Keynes (Image: T. Larkum)

Tesla and SolarCity? Yes, it makes sense.

The combined company will be perfectly suited to markets that barely exist yet

Tesla showroom in Milton Keynes (Image: T. Larkum)
Tesla showroom in Milton Keynes (Image: T. Larkum)

Elon Musk announced last week that he wants Tesla, his electric-car company, to acquire SolarCity, the rooftop-solar company he helped found and now serves as chairman. The result would be a single “end to end” energy behemoth.

“As a combined automotive and power storage and power generation company,” Musk said, “the potential is there for Tesla to be a $1 trillion company.”

Reaction was, by and large, skeptical. (Tesla stock dropped 10 percent the following day.) Over at Stratechery, Ben Thompson says Tesla already faces “very long odds of achieving its plans.” Adding SolarCity’s negative $2.6 billion cash flow to Tesla’s already negative $1.5 billion is no help to Tesla, though it might save SolarCity. Thompson thinks Musk wants it because he’s “highly exposed to SolarCity’s plummeting stock.” Otherwise it makes no sense, he says, because Tesla and Solar City have “zero business synergies.”

Analysts at research firm UBS, in a pair of briefs, echo that critique, arguing that there’s little these businesses offer one another that they couldn’t get from some kind of cross-marketing agreement.

I’m not qualified to comment on the near-term business merits of the deal. It may well prove to be a disaster. But I think Thompson and other critics are underestimating the synergies. They are limited now, but they will grow over time. (Over at Greentech Media, Julia Pyper also has good piece on this.)

How fast will the synergies grow? That depends on factors largely outside either company’s control.

That’s the big risk of this deal: Even assuming the merged company could get past its short-term challenges, its long-term fate rests on policy and regulatory decisions it can’t predict or determine. It’s a merger based on hope.

Synergy depends on future markets

The kinds of markets in which electric cars, home batteries, and solar panels could fully, uh, synergize do not currently exist in most places. They are precluded by the way the US structures its electric utility sector, as a patchwork of monopolies and quasi-monopolies.

Read more: Vox

Hurricane Sandy flooded huge parts of Lower Manhattan and downtown Brooklyn (Image: J. Countess/Redux)

Can New York Be Saved in the Era of Global Warming?

The future of America’s greatest city is at risk

Hurricane Sandy flooded huge parts of Lower Manhattan and downtown Brooklyn (Image: J. Countess/Redux)
Hurricane Sandy flooded huge parts of Lower Manhattan and downtown Brooklyn (Image: J. Countess/Redux)

It’s a bright spring day in New York, with sunlight dancing on the East River and robins singing Broadway tunes. I’m walking along the sea wall on the Lower East Side of Manhattan with Daniel Zarrilli, 41, the head of New York’s Office of Resilience and Recovery – basically Mayor Bill de Blasio’s point man for preparing the city for the coming decades of storms and sea-level rise. Zarrilli is dressed in his usual City Hall attire: white shirt and tie, polished black shoes. He has short-cropped gray hair, dark eyes and an edgy I’ve-got-a-job-to-do manner.

Zarrilli may be the only person in the world who holds in his head the full catastrophe of what rising seas and increasingly violent storms mean to the greatest city in America. Not surprisingly, instead of musing about the beautiful weather, he points to the East River, where the water is innocently bouncing off the sea wall about six feet below us.

“During Sandy,” he says, darkly, “the storm surge was about nine feet above high tide. You and I would be standing in about four feet of water right now.”

As Zarrilli knows better than anyone, Hurricane Sandy, which hit New York in October 2012, flooding more than 88,000 buildings in the city and killing 44 people, was a transformative event. It did not just reveal how vulnerable New York is to a powerful storm, but it also gave a preview of what the city faces over the next century, when sea levels are projected to rise five, six, seven feet or more, causing Sandy-like flooding (or much worse) to occur with increasing frequency.

“The problem for New York is, climate science is getting better and better, and storm intensity and sea-level-rise projections are getting more and more alarming,”

says Chris Ward, the former executive director of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, the agency in charge of airports, tunnels and other transportation infrastructure.

“It fundamentally calls into question New York’s existence. The water is coming, and the long-term implications are gigantic.”

Read more: Rolling Stone

EV sales boost ‘vital to closing emissions gap’

The market share of electric vehicles (EVs) must be increased to achieve the fuel economy standards set by regulators.

ev_charging_sign_shutterstock

According to the World Energy Council (WEC), EVs currently represent less than 1% of the combined market share across the world’s largest markets – EU, US and China – for new passenger cars.

Its report states the three regions have set major fuel economy targets, requiring efficiency improvements of around 30% by 2020 – two to three times higher than current levels.

The WEC believes the market share needs to be increased to 16% by the end of the decade to close the emissions gap.

The EV gap, i.e. the number of EV sales required to meet fuel economy targets, in the EU is 1.4 million – 10% of the estimated 2020 projected car sales.

In the US, it is 0.9 million (11%) while in China, it is roughly 5.3 million (22%).

The report adds power demand attributed to new EVs can likely be managed with proper planning by utilities and could be further mitigated at the local level with emerging technologies such as vehicle-to-grid.

It recommends policymakers to examine how proposed fuel requirements can be matched by working with industry through financial and operational incentives to achieve improvements in CO2 emissions.

Christoph Frei, Secretary-General of the World Energy Council, said:

“Over the past decade, we have seen the emergence of climate change and fuel price volatility as headline issues that keeps energy leaders awake at night. As a result, many countries have set ambitious fuel efficiency targets for passenger vehicles.

“The innovative role EVs can play in meeting these standards makes for a pragmatic step in closing the emissions gap by 2020. Looking beyond 2020, EVs and innovation in this area present a major growth opportunity not only for car manufacturers but for the energy sector as a whole.”

Source: Energy Live News

When will electric cars begin to outsell petrol and diesel in the UK? 2027.

  • Expert panel says there’s been a recent ‘step-change’ in public opinion towards electric vehicles
  • Prediction based on stats from the Government, Committee on Climate Change, RAC Foundation, Auto Express and other industry authorities

Electric cars are the future, we’re constantly being told. But how far into the future will they be the dominant form of propulsion for new cars sold in the UK?

According to an expert panel, the first year electric cars will outsell conventional combustion engined vehicles is 2027.

And it’s all because of a recent ‘step-change’ in the public’s opinion of electric vehicles, bringing the tipping point way ahead of the Government’s expectations of a fully electrified road network in 2040.

Go Ultra Low, a government and industry-backed campaign to educate motorists about the benefits of electric cars, said more than 1.3million electric cars will be registered in 2027.

That would see them outselling new petrol and diesel vehicles, based on a new-car registration total of 2.6million – the same as 2015.

It made the bold claim after reviewing multiple electric-car reports and forecasts concerning electric vehicle take-up, including results from Auto Express’ most recent Driver Power survey.

The weekly car magazine recently reported record high scores for EVs in its flagship car owner survey, with electric cars topping the overall best car tables and performing strongly in ease of driving and running costs categories, among others.

Read more: This is Money

Nissan switches on solar farm to power UK car production (including LEAF)

Nissan Switches On Solar Farm To Power UK Car Production

Nissan expanded its renewable electricity generation in the company’s Sunderland Plant.

Nissan switches on solar farm to power UK car production (including LEAF)
Nissan switches on solar farm to power UK car production (including LEAF)

The latest additions adds a 4.75 MW solar array, with some 19,000 solar panels – which is on top of the 6.6 MW in place from 10 wind turbines, displacing some 7% of electricity usage.

Nissan states that a total 11.35 MW of power will supply enough electricity to build over 31,000 cars a year.

Nissan Sunderland Plant is currently the largest car manufacturing facility in the UK.

Recently, the Japanese auto maker passed 50,000 LEAFs (and batteries) produced locally at the facility. In the near future, Sunderland has also been confirmed to produce also generation batteries (it does not build the current 30 kWh packs in the 2016 model).

“Nissan has switched on a new solar farm at its biggest manufacturing site in Europe, the latest landmark in the company’s journey towards Intelligent Mobility.

Made of up 19,000 photo-voltaic panels, the new 4.75MW facility is now fully operational at Nissan Sunderland Plant, as Nissan strives towards its twin goals of zero emissions and zero fatalities.

The solar farm has been installed alongside 10 wind turbines already generating clean power for Nissan in Sunderland, the European centre of production for the all-electric Nissan LEAF and its batteries.”

“Nissan began integrating renewable energy sources in Sunderland in 2005 when the company installed its first wind turbines on site. These 10 wind turbines contribute 6.6MW power, with the 4.75MW solar farm bringing the total output of renewables to 11.35MW in Sunderland. This equates to 7% of the plant’s electricity requirements, enough to build the equivalent of 31,374 vehicles.

The solar farm has been developed and installed within the loop of Nissan’s vehicle test track in Sunderland by partner company European Energy Photovoltaics, with 100% of the electricity generated to be used by Nissan.

Its installation comes as Nissan celebrates its 30th anniversary of manufacturing in the UK, having become the biggest UK car plant of all time and now supporting nearly 40,000 jobs in Britain in vehicle design, engineering, production, parts distribution, sales and marketing, dealer network and supply chain.”

Colin Lawther, Nissan’s Senior Vice President for Manufacturing, Purchasing and Supply Chain Management in Europe, said

“Renewable energy is fundamental to Nissan’s vision for Intelligent Mobility.”

“We have built over 50,000 Nissan LEAFs in Europe, and the industry-leading new 250km-range LEAF is now available. With 10 wind turbines already generating energy for our Sunderland plant, this new solar farm will further reduce the environmental impact of Nissan vehicles during their entire lifecycle.”

Source: Inside EVs